In 2024, the figure is set to grow to almost 310 GW, driven by lower module prices, greater uptake of distributed PV systems, and a policy push for large-scale deployment.
Ember expects the world to add 593GW of new solar capacity in 2024, up from 459.46GW in 2023. Image: Pivot Energy. The world is on pace to add 593GWM of new solar power capacity in 2024, a 29% increase over the capacity added in 2023, and an installation figure that would put some of the world's most ambitious climate targets “within reach”.
BloombergNEF says in a new report that developers deployed 444 GW of new PV capacity throughout the world in 2023. It says new installations could reach 574 GW this year, 627 GW in 2025, and 880 GW in 2030. The world could install up to 574 GW of new PV capacity this year, according to a new global PV outlook report from BloombergNEF.
BNEF estimates that China will account for 54.7% of global solar PV capacity additions in 2024. Image: RWE. The world could install up to 655GWdc of solar PV capacity this year, up from about 444GWdc in 2023, according to BloombergNEF's (BNEF) 1Q 2024 Global PV Market Outlook.
The global solar PV industry had impressive growth in 2023, increasing the installed capacity from 252GWdc in 2022, representing a 76.2% year-on-year growth. China added 268GWdc or 216.9ac last year, 60.4% of the global installed capacity. The US added 35.2GWdc last year, followed by Brazil (16.9GWdc), Germany (14.1GWdc) and India (13.6GWdc).
This article was published by S&P Global Commodity Insights and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global. After global solar photovoltaic (PV) additions reached 421 GWdc – a staggering 70% year-on-year growth – in 2023, S&P Global Commodity Insights projects further 20% year-on-year growth in 2024.
For the remaining countries, this report uses exports of solar panels from China up to July 2024 to estimate what will be installed throughout 2024. This analysis suggests that 115 GW (with a range of 81-149 GW) of solar capacity will be installed in the rest of the world in 2024.